Abstract

To develop a radiomics model in contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT (CE-CBBCT) for preoperative prediction of axillary lymph node (ALN) status and metastatic burden of breast cancer. Two hundred andseventy-four patients who underwent CE-CBBCT examination with two scanners between 2012 and 2021 from two institutions were enrolled. The primary tumor was annotated in each patient image, from which 1781 radiomics features were extracted with PyRadiomics. After feature selection, support vector machine models were developed to predict ALN status and metastatic burden. To avoid overfitting on a specific patient subset, 100 randomly stratified splits were made to assign the patients to either training/fine-tuning or test set. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of these radiomics models was compared to those obtained when training the models only with clinical features and combined clinical-radiomics descriptors. Ground truth was established by histopathology. One hundred andeighteen patients had ALN metastasis (N+ (≥ 1)). Of these, 74 had low burden (N+ (1~2)) and 44 high burden (N+ (≥ 3)). The remaining 156 patients had none (N0). AUC values across the 100 test repeats in predicting ALN status (N0/N+ (≥ 1)) were 0.75 ± 0.05 (0.67~0.93, radiomics model), 0.68±0.07 (0.53~0.85, clinical model), and 0.74 ± 0.05 (0.67~0.88, combined model). For metastatic burden prediction (N+ (1~2)/N+ (≥ 3)), AUC values were 0.65 ± 0.10 (0.50~0.88, radiomics model), 0.55±0.10 (0.40~0.80, clinical model), and 0.64 ± 0.09 (0.50~0.90, combined model), with all the ranges spanning 0.5. In both cases, the radiomics model was significantly better than the clinical model (both p< 0.01) and comparable with the combined model (p= 0.56 and 0.64). Radiomics features of primary tumors could have potential in predicting ALN metastasis in CE-CBBCT imaging. The findings support potential clinical use of radiomics for predicting axillary lymph node metastasis in breast cancer patients and addressing the limited axilla coverage of cone-beam breast CT. • Contrast-enhanced cone-beam breast CT-based radiomics could have potential to predict N0 vs. N + (≥ 1) and, to a limited extent, N + (1~2) vs. N + (≥ 3) from primary tumor, and this could help address the limited axilla coverage, pending future verifications on larger cohorts. • The average AUC of radiomics and combined models was significantly higher than that of clinical models but showed no significant difference between themselves. • Radiomics features descriptive of tumor texture were found informative on axillary lymph node status, highlighting a higher heterogeneity for tumor with positive axillary lymph node.

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