Abstract

PurposeTo develop and validate a radiomics nomogram based on T2-weighted imaging (T2WI) and apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) features for the preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in rectal cancer patients.Materials and MethodsOne hundred and sixty-two patients with rectal cancer confirmed by pathology were retrospectively analyzed, who underwent T2WI and DWI sequences. The data sets were divided into training (n = 97) and validation (n = 65) cohorts. For each case, a total of 2,752 radiomic features were extracted from T2WI, and ADC images derived from diffusion-weighted imaging. A two-sample t-test was used for prefiltering. The least absolute shrinkage selection operator method was used for feature selection. Three radiomics scores (rad-scores) (rad-score 1 for T2WI, rad-score 2 for ADC, and rad-score 3 for the combination of both) were calculated using the support vector machine classifier. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was then used to construct a radiomics nomogram combining rad-score 3 and independent risk factors. The performances of three rad-scores and the nomogram were evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to assess the clinical usefulness of the radiomics nomogram.ResultsThe AUCs of the rad-score 1 and rad-score 2 were 0.805, 0.749 and 0.828, 0.770 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The rad-score 3 achieved an AUC of 0.879 in the training cohort and an AUC of 0.822 in the validation cohort. The radiomics nomogram, incorporating the rad-score 3, age, and LN size, showed good discrimination with the AUC of 0.937 for the training cohort and 0.884 for the validation cohort. DCA confirmed that the radiomics nomogram had clinical utility.ConclusionsThe radiomics nomogram, incorporating rad-score based on features from the T2WI and ADC images, and clinical factors, has favorable predictive performance for preoperative prediction of LN metastasis in patients with rectal cancer.

Highlights

  • More than 700,000 people worldwide were newly diagnosed with rectal cancer in 2018 [1]

  • Of the 2,752 radiomic features extracted from T2WI and ADC images, 2,076 were demonstrated to have high stability, with Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) from 0.8003 to 0.9973

  • Rad-score 3 was constructed that incorporated T2WI and ADC image features for preoperative prediction of lymph node (LN) metastasis in patients with rectal cancer and compared with the predictive performance of rad-score 1 based on T2WI features and radscore 2 based on ADC features

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Summary

Introduction

More than 700,000 people worldwide were newly diagnosed with rectal cancer in 2018 [1]. Among the metastatic pathways of rectal cancer, lymph node (LN) metastasis is the most important and closely correlated with the poor prognosis due to a high rate of local recurrence [2,3,4]. High-resolution magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) has been widely used for clinical staging and guiding the treatment of rectal cancer patients [9]. MRI has limited ability to predict LN status with morphological criteria [10, 11]. This limitation is aggravated by the lack of consensus on appropriate criteria to assess LN positivity [12]. Improvements in techniques for preoperatively identifying LN metastasis status are key imperatives

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