Abstract

This study demonstrated the usefulness of radiomic features based on the Hessian index of differential topology for the prediction of prognosis prior to treatment in head-and-neck (HN) cancer patients. The Hessian index, which can indicate tumor heterogeneity with convex, concave, and other points (saddle points), was calculated as the number of negative eigenvalues of the Hessian matrix at each voxel on computed tomography (CT) images. Three types of signatures were constructed in a training cohort (n = 126), one type each from CT conventional features, Hessian index features, and combined features from the conventional and index feature sets. The prognostic value of the signatures were evaluated using statistically significant difference (p value, log-rank test) to compare the survival curves of low- and high-risk groups. In a test cohort (n = 68), the p values of the models built with conventional, index, combined features, and clinical variables were 2.95 times 10–2, 1.85 times 10–2, 3.17 times 10–2, and 1.87 times 10–3, respectively. When the features were integrated with clinical variables, the p values of conventional, index, and combined features were 3.53 times 10–3, 1.28 times 10–3, and 1.45 times 10–3, respectively. This result indicates that index features could provide more prognostic information than conventional features and further increase the prognostic value of clinical variables in HN cancer patients.

Highlights

  • This study demonstrated the usefulness of radiomic features based on the Hessian index of differential topology for the prediction of prognosis prior to treatment in head-and-neck (HN) cancer patients

  • We have developed a radiomic approach based on the Hessian index for the prediction of patients’ prognosis in HN cancer patients

  • Radiomic signatures were constructed from signature candidates, which are features having the relationship with patients’ prognosis, using a combination strategy with Cox proportional hazard ­model[28] (CPHM)

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Summary

Introduction

This study demonstrated the usefulness of radiomic features based on the Hessian index of differential topology for the prediction of prognosis prior to treatment in head-and-neck (HN) cancer patients. Ou et al.[15] investigated the prognostic powers of radiomic signatures with conventional texture features obtained from CT images in locally advanced HN cancers patients, for predicting the 5-year overall survival after concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CRT) or bioradiotherapy (BRT). When an HPV/p16 status was combined with the radiomic signatures, the reported AUC was 0.78 These results motivated us to develop new radiomic features for improving the performance of the prognosis prediction, because the conventional texture features may have reached a plateau. P­ yradiomics[27], which is a useful open-source software in radiomics analysis, does not include the calculation functions of the Hessian matrices and index features

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