Abstract

Whether radioactive iodine therapy (RAIT) is necessary for intermediate-risk papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) after total thyroidectomy is still lacking reliable evidence, especially for patients with low postoperative thyroglobulin (Tg) levels. This study conducted a propensity score matching (PSM) analysis to investigate whether RAIT is effective in reducing the recurrence of intermediate-risk PTC with low Tg levels. In total, 1487 patients with intermediate-risk PTC with unstimulated Tg ≤ 1 ng/mL or stimulated Tg ≤ 10 ng/mL after total thyroidectomy were enrolled retrospectively. The clinicopathological characteristics were compared between the non-RAIT and RAIT groups before and after PSM (1:4 matching). The impact of RAIT on biochemical recurrence and structural recurrence was evaluated. Overall, 1349 (90.7%) patients underwent RAIT, and 138 (9.3%) did not. After a median follow-up time of 51 months, 30 patients presented with recurrence, including 11 structural and 19 biochemical recurrences. After PSM, the non-RAIT group had a higher rate of structural recurrence (5/138 vs 5/552, P = .046) and biochemical recurrence (6/138 vs 4/552, P = .005) than the RAIT group. Multivariate analysis showed that not receiving RAIT was an independent risk factor for structural recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 10.572, 95% CI 2.439-45.843, P = .002) and biochemical recurrence (HR 16.568, 95% CI 3.670-74.803, P < .001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the non-RAIT group had more unfavorable recurrence-free survival (structural and biochemical, all P < .05). RAIT could decrease the recurrence risk of intermediate-risk PTC in patients with unstimulated Tg ≤ 1 ng/mL or stimulated Tg ≤ 10 ng/mL. Further prospective randomized studies are needed to confirm these findings.

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