Abstract

Understanding the relationship between tree growth and environmental conditions is essential to elucidating the impact of global climate change on forest ecosystems. We used the dendrochronology method to examine the growth sensitivity of a typical conifer to climate change in mountain forests of Central Hengduan Mountain. The study involved the establishment of tree ring width chronologies of Pinus yunnanensis in both Haba Snow Mountain (HB) and Yulong Snow Mountain (YL) in northwestern Yunnan, enabling the detection of the relationship between its radial growth and climates, i.e., monthly total precipitation, monthly temperatures (average minimum, mean and maximum) and monthly Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI). Response function and redundancy analysis (RDA) were used to identify correlations between climate variables and radial growth, and moving interval analysis was applied to determine the stability of climate-growth relationship. The findings demonstrated that the growth of P. yunnanensis had similar response patterns to climate change at two sites, exhibiting growth synchronization and common signals. Specifically, the radial growth of P. yunnanensis was negatively correlated with May temperature, while temperature in current October significantly promoted radial growth. Precipitation in June was the common climate variable with inverse effects between two sites, with positive impacts on YL and negative impacts on HB. The results of moving interval analysis were consistent with response function and RDA, presenting significant correlations in many years for those climatic variables significantly affecting tree growth. Stability analysis also revealed that the climate-growth relationship could fluctuate over a small range of time scales, induced by an abrupt change in climate. A forecast of strengthen in growth of P. yunnanensis forests was expected, since increases in precipitation and temperature of most months would benefit tree growth, and negative impacts of May temperature would be offset by the increase of precipitation in the corresponding month. These results could provide a basis for developing sustainable strategies of forest management under the climate change.

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