Abstract

This paper addressed one of the main challenges in assimilating remote sensing derived variables into process-based crop model simulations, which is the inconsistent spatial and temporal resolution between information obtained from remote sensing and the outputs of process-based agroecosystem model. We proposed an applied method to reduce the number of required simulations by identifying (i) optimal points in time where additional information from remote sensing has the largest positive influence on the model performance and (ii) options to cluster 10 m grid cells to larger cells without compromising their information content. The MONICA (Model for Nitrogen and Carbon) model was applied to simulate above and below ground biomass in two grassland sites located in southern and eastern parts of Germany. The model was calibrated using LAI values obtained from Sentinel-2 and the sensitivity of output variables to two key root parameters (Root Form factor and specific root length) was evaluated. Our results showed that one or two satellite images covering the critical time periods right after cutting events significantly improved the predictions of grass yields produced by a mechanistic agroecosystem models (by up to 30 %). A larger number of images at other grass growth stages would not further improve the predictive power of the model. We also found that the sensitivity to these critical time periods was independent of model parameters. The mixed-resolution scheme (between 10 and 50 m) achieved better results compared with the high-resolution standalone state-updating method, yet it reduced computational costs by more than 50 %. In conclusion, we proposed a methodology to reduce the number of required simulations for data assimilation by aggregating data from fine to coarse resolutions. Our method was promising for applying data assimilation over large areas and benefiting more from satellite information for real-time prediction of agricultural productivity.

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