Quantitative myocardial blood flow as a prognostic marker for cardiovascular outcomes in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: a multicentre study

Abstract

Abstract Introduction: Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease, including epicardial coronary heart disease, silent myocardial infarction (MI), and coronary microvascular dysfunction (CMD) [1]. All of these can be assessed and quantified using cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR), including most recently quantitative myocardial blood flow (MBF). We aimed to determine the prognostic relevance of MBF in patients with T2DM and test the hypothesis that impaired stress MBF and myocardial perfusion reserve (MPR) have independent prognostic value over standard clinical and imaging parameters. Methods A 4-centre study of patients with T2DM who underwent quantitative perfusion assessment using CMR. Diagnosis of T2DM was based on Hba1c >48mmol/l or a known diagnosis of T2DM. Image analysis was performed automatically using an artificial intelligence approach deriving global MBF and MPR [2]. Cox proportional hazard models adjusting for comorbidities and CMR parameters sought associations between stress MBF and MPR with death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including MI, non-fatal stroke, heart failure hospitalisation and death. Results A total of 630 patients with T2DM were included with a median follow-up of 722 days (interquartile range 493) days. There were 27 (4.3%) deaths and 76 MACE events in 62 (12.1%) patients. Patient data was represented into groups depending on threshold stress MBF values of 1.94ml/g/min and MPR thresholds of 1.96 using validated data from invasive coronary physiology [3]. Patient demographics and CMR data are seen in table 1. Kaplan-Meier curves are seen in figure 1. Stress MBF was associated with mortality and MACE after adjusting for age, LV ejection fraction and HbA1c. The stress MBF adjusted hazard ratios for all cause death and death and MACE were 0.35 (95% CI, 0.13–0.95, P=0.04) and 0.54 (95% CI, 0.30–0.96, P=0.04), respectively. MPR was not significantly associated with death and MACE after adjusting for age, LV ejection fraction and HbA1c; hazard ratio for all cause death and death and MACE was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.41–1.69, P=0.60) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.53–1.23, p=0.32) respectively. Conclusion In patients with T2DM, reduced stress MBF measured automatically inline using artificial intelligence quantification of cardiovascular magnetic resonance perfusion mapping provides a strong, independent predictor of adverse cardiovascular outcome. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): 1. REC ID 14/EE/0007 (Barts Heart Centre funding). 2. For PREDICT (Leicester data) ethical approval was provided by the UK Health Research Authority Research Ethics Committee (reference 17/WM/0192). 3. MATCH Study, Leeds - British Heart Foundation - 17/YH/0300. 4. LEAN-DM, Leeds - British Heart Foundation - 18/YH/01685. CEED, Leeds: British Heart Foundation - REC reference - 18/YH/0190