Abstract

Endogenous learning curve (endogenous method) and set value exogenously (exogenous method) are two widely used methods for non-fossil energy cost experience curve in energy transition research based on quantitative model. The difference between endogenous method and exogenous method on total energy investment cost are compared, and the effect of key factors such as the learning rate of endogenous curve, cumulative installation capacity of the electricity supply technology, growth pathway of the electricity supply technology are analyzed. Recommendation for pay more attention to the effects of different cost experience curves on results of quantitative models are made for better decision-making support.

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