Abstract

Abstract Purpose Sodium[18F]fluoride (Na[18F]F) used in positron emission tomography (PET) binds to active calcification and correlates consistently with higher cardiovascular risk. This study aims to investigate the feasibility of aortic Na[18F]F-PET in hybrid combination with low-dose computed tomography (CT) as a risk model for major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). Methods Patient data and Na[18F]F-PET/CT scans from January 2019 to February 2022 were retrospectively collected at the University Medical Center Groningen (UMCG), the Netherlands. MACE-outcome was a composite of time to first documented myocardial infarction, cerebral vascular accident (CVA), acute heart failure hospitalization, and aortic aneurysms. MACE dates were recorded from the day of the scan until follow-up in December 2023. The aorta was manually segmented in all low-dose CT scans. To minimize spill-over effects from the vertebrae, the vertebrae were automatically segmented using an open-source model, dilated with 10 mm, and subtracted from the aortic mask. The total aortic Na[18F]F corrected maximum standardized uptake value (cSUVmax) and total aortic Agatston score were automatically calculated using SEQUOIA. Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression survival analysis were performed, stratifying patients into high, medium, and low cSUVmax and Agatston categories. Cox regression models were adjusted for age. Results Out of 280 identified scans, 216 scans of unique patients were included. During a median follow-up of 3.9 years, 12 MACE occurred. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis demonstrated a significant difference in MACE-free survival among the high cSUVmax group compared to the medium and low groups (p = 0.03 and p < 0.01, respectively). Similarly, patients with high Agatston scores had a significantly lower MACE-free survival probability compared to those with medium and low scores (both p < 0.01). Conclusion This study highlights the potential clinical utility of Na[18F]F-PET/CT as an imaging tool to predict the risk of MACE. Clinical validation of this novel proof-of-concept method is needed to confirm these results and expand the clinical context.

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