Abstract

Post-earthquake relief zone planning is a multidisciplinary optimization problem, which required delineating zones that seek to minimize the loss of life and property. In this study, we offer an end-to-end workflow to define relief zone suitability and equitable relief service zones for Los Angeles (LA) County. In particular, we address the impact of a tsunami in the study due to LA’s high spatial complexities in terms of clustering of population along the coastline, and a complicated inland fault system. We design data-driven earthquake relief zones with a wide variety of inputs, including geological features, population, and public safety. Data-driven zones were generated by solving the p-median problem with the Teitz–Bart algorithm without any a priori knowledge of optimal relief zones. We define the metrics to determine the optimal number of relief zones as a part of the proposed workflow. Finally, we measure the impacts of a tsunami in LA County by comparing data-driven relief zone maps for a case with a tsunami and a case without a tsunami. Our results show that the impact of the tsunami on the relief zones can extend up to 160 km inland from the study area.

Highlights

  • Introduction and Jesus MartinezFriasA recent study conducted by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) shows that a portion of the San Andreas Fault close to Los Angeles (LA) could be overdue for a major earthquake

  • Tsunamis in California are perceived as an unlikely extreme event due to their low frequency; our analysis shows that a tsunami can change relief plans considerably

  • We present a workflow that quantifies the impact of a tsunami on datadriven relief zones

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Summary

Introduction

Introduction and Jesus MartinezFriasA recent study conducted by the United States Geological Survey (USGS) shows that a portion of the San Andreas Fault close to Los Angeles (LA) could be overdue for a major earthquake. Areas along the coast are threatened by post-earthquake tsunamis, despite the low probability [1]. Under such circumstances, an efficient and manageable evacuation plan can help authorities and citizens to make appropriate decisions in preparing and responding to a massive earthquake. The majority of the tsunamis that impact the county originate from distal subduction zone events from the Pacific Rim, such as 1964 Alaska [3], 2010 Chile [4], and 2011 Tohoku earthquakes [4], with few reports of local tsunami-generating events, such as the Santa Barbara earthquake of 1812 [5]. The resulting tsunamis can lead to severe damage, such as thirty block inundation in downtown

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