Abstract
“Quantifying Credit Risk I” (in the January/February 2003 Financial Analysts Journal) presented evidence on the effectiveness of using the information in market equity prices to predict corporate default. This Part II links those results to the valuation of corporate debt and shows that, contrary to previous negative results, the approach pioneered by Fischer Black, Myron Scholes, and Robert Merton provides superior explanations of secondary-market debt prices.
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