Abstract

AbstractForests have a prominent role in carbon sequestration and storage. Climate change and anthropogenic forcing have altered the dominant characteristics of some forested ecosystems through changes to their disturbance regimes, particularly fire. Ecosystems that historically burned frequently, like pinelands in the southeastern United States, risk changes in their structure and function when the fire regime they require is altered. Although the carbon storage potential in an unburned southeastern U.S. forest would be larger, this scenario is unrealistic due to the likelihood of wildfire. Additionally, fire exclusion can have negative consequences on these forests health, biodiversity, and species endemism. There is a need, specifically for the southeast, to estimate carbon and species dynamics based on the differences between various fire regimes, and particularly the differences between prescribed fire and wildfire. These are important factors to consider given that prescribed fire is a common tool used in the southeast, and wildfires are ever more present. Field data from an experimental Pinus palustris (longleaf pine) forest of southwest Georgia were used to parametrize the forest landscape model LANDIS‐II. The model simulated how carbon and species dynamics differ under a fire exclusion, a prescribed fire, and multiple wildfire scenarios. All scenarios except fire exclusion resulted in net emissions to the atmosphere, but prescribed fire produced the least carbon emissions from fire and maintained the most stable aboveground biomass compared to wildfire scenarios. Removing fire for approximately a century was necessary to obtain an average stand‐level biomass greater than that of prescribed fire and net emissions less than that of prescribed fire. The prescribed fire scenario produced a longleaf pine‐dominated forest, the exclusion scenario converted to predominantly oak species Quercus virginiana (live oak), Q. stellata (post oak), and Q. margaretta (sand post oak), while scenarios with intermediate wildfire regimes supported a mix of other fire‐facilitator hardwoods and pine species, such as Q. incana (bluejack oak) and Pinus elliotti (slash pine). Overall, this study supports prescribed fire regimes in southeastern U.S. pinelands to both minimize carbon emissions and preserve native biodiversity.

Highlights

  • Forests impact the global carbon balance by sequestering ~30% of annual anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions and storing ~45% of terrestrial carbon (Canadell et al 2007, Bonan 2008)

  • Aboveground biomass The average aboveground biomass (AGB) ranged from ~35 Mg/ha with the 20-yr wildfire return to ~250 Mg/ha in the fire exclusion scenario (Fig. 2)

  • Suppression before a wildfire needs to last on the order of 100 yr for average AGB to be higher than the prescribed fire scenario (~190 Mg/ha vs. ~195 Mg/ha) for sites used in this study

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Summary

Introduction

Forests impact the global carbon balance by sequestering ~30% of annual anthropogenic carbon dioxide emissions and storing ~45% of terrestrial carbon (Canadell et al 2007, Bonan 2008) Their ability to continue to sequester carbon and remain a sink depends on a variety of factors such as current ecosystem state, land-use history, climate change, disturbance regimes, and other interacting processes that frequently are interconnected (Denslow 1980, Emanuel et al 1985, Prentice and Fung 1990, Bachelet et al 2001, Hurtt et al 2002, Bonan 2008, Xu et al 2009, Dale et al 2011, Pan et al 2011, Millar and Stephenson 2015). Through the continued use of frequent prescribed fire, this endangered ecosystem with many endemic flora and fauna (Hardin and White 1989, Walker 1993, Kirkman et al 2016) has the potential to remain a global hotspot of diversity, maintain resilience to future droughts, and minimize large carbon emission pulses that can occur with wildfire (Hurteau and North 2009, Gonzalez-Benecke et al 2015, Starr et al 2015)

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