Abstract
Quantitative analyses of actual measurements rather than modeling have shown that “global warming” has been heterogeneous over the surface of the planet and temporally non-linear. Residual regression analyses by Soares (2010) indicated increments of increased temperature precede increments of CO2 increase. The remarkably strong negative correlation (r = -0.99) between the earth’s magnetic dipole moment values and global CO2-temperature indicators over the last ~30 years is sufficient to be considered causal if contributing energies were within the same order of magnitude. Quantitative convergence between the energies lost by the diminishing averaged geomagnetic field strength and energies gained within the ocean-atmosphere interface satisfy the measured values for increased global temperature and CO2 release from sea water. The pivotal variable is the optimal temporal unit employed to estimate the total energies available for physical-chemical reactions. The positive drift in averaged amplitude of geomagnetic activity over the last 100 years augmented this process. Contributions from annual CO2 from volcanism and shifts in averaged geomagnetic activity, lagged years before the measured global temperature-CO2 values, are moderating variables for smaller amplitude perturbations. These results indicated that the increase in CO2 and global temperatures are primarily caused by major geophysical factors, particularly the diminishing total geomagnetic field strength and increased geomagnetic activity, but not by human activities. Strategies for adapting to climate change because of these powerful variables may differ from those that assume exclusive anthropomorphic causes.
Highlights
“Global warming” is a term applied to the approximately 1 ̊C averaged increase in terrestrial surface temperature that has been measured over the last ~150 years [1]
We present quantitative evidence that global warming has been occurring recently, the primary source may not be caused by release of CO2 from human activities but from physical processes strongly coupled to the diminishing magnetic dipole of the earth as well as enhanced geomagnetic activity due to shifting parameters within the movement of the solar system
There are relatively few stations measuring CO2 which are generalized to the planet even though about two-thirds of the land masses are in the northern hemisphere where high latitude regions exhibit the predominance of warming [2]
Summary
“Global warming” is a term applied to the approximately 1 ̊C averaged increase in terrestrial surface temperature that has been measured over the last ~150 years [1]. The sun and its system completes one orbit around the galactic center once every approximately 250 million years This means from the perspective of human durations it has been moving through different space for the duration of the interval for which direct measurements and inferences of surface temperature have been collected [10] [11]. The inference by Fenton et al [15], based upon measurements of the albedo of planet Mars that its temperature had increased by about 0.7 ̊C over 20 years, strongly indicates that increased terrestrial increases in temperature may be related to processes other than its inhabitants This approach is in marked opposition to the conclusions of Tett et al [16] who excluded purely natural forcing of temperature change and attributed it “largely to the anthropogenic components”. 2μ where B is the strength of the magnetic field, μ is the magnetic permeability (4π × 10−7 N/A2) and m3 is the volume being considered
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