Qualitative inverse problems: mapping data to the features of trajectories and parameter values of an ODE model

Abstract

Our recent work on linear and affine dynamical systems has laid out a general framework for inferring the parameters of a differential equation model from a discrete set of data points collected from a system being modeled. It introduced a new class of inverse problems where qualitative information about the parameters and the associated dynamics of the system is determined for regions of the data space, rather than just for isolated experiments. Rigorous mathematical results have justified this approach and have identified common features that arise for certain classes of integrable models. In this work we present a thorough numerical investigation that shows that several of these core features extend to a paradigmatic linear-in-parameters model, the Lotka–Volterra (LV) system, which we consider in the conservative case as well as under the addition of terms that perturb the system away from this regime. A central construct for this analysis is a concise representation of parameter and dynamical features in the data space that we call the P n -diagram, which is particularly useful for visualization of the qualitative dependence of the system dynamics on data for low-dimensional (small n) systems. Our work also exposes some new properties related to non-uniqueness that arise for these LV systems, with non-uniqueness manifesting as a multi-layered structure in the associated P 2-diagrams.