Abstract

Public health emergency decisions are explored to ensure the emergency response measures in an environment where various emergencies occur frequently. An emergency decision is essentially a multi-criteria risk decision-making problem. The feasibility of applying prospect theory to emergency decisions is analyzed, and how psychological behaviors of decision-makers impact decision-making results are quantified. On this basis, the cognitive process of public health emergencies is investigated based on the rough set theory. A Decision Rule Extraction Algorithm (denoted as A-DRE) that considers attribute costs is proposed, which is then applied for attribute reduction and rule extraction on emergency datasets. In this way, decision-makers can obtain reduced decision table attributes quickly. Considering that emergency decisions require the participation of multiple departments, a framework is constructed to solve multi-department emergency decisions. The technical characteristics of the blockchain are in line with the requirements of decentralization and multi-party participation in emergency management. The core framework of the public health emergency management system-plan, legal system, mechanism, and system can play an important role. When delta { = }0.10, the classification accuracy under the K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN) classifier reaches 73.5%. When delta { = }0.15, the classification accuracy under the Support Vector Machines (SVM) classifier reaches 86.4%. It can effectively improve China’s public health emergency management system and improve the efficiency of emergency management. By taking Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) as an example, the weight and prospect value functions of different decision-maker attributes are constructed based on prospect theory. The optimal rescue plan is finally determined. A-DRE can consider the cost of each attribute in the decision table and the ability to classify it correctly; moreover, it can reduce the attributes and extract the rules on the COVID-19 dataset, suitable for decision-makers' situation face once an emergency occurs. The emergency decision approach based on rough set attribute reduction and prospect theory can acquire practical decision-making rules while considering the different risk preferences of decision-makers facing different decision-making results, which is significant for the rapid development of public health emergency assistance and disaster relief.

Highlights

  • Public health emergency decisions are explored to ensure the emergency response measures in an environment where various emergencies occur frequently

  • Two methods based on Neighborhood Rough Set (NRS) and Information Entropy (HANDI) are selected for comparison, and both Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Decision Tree (ID3) classifiers are employed to measure the classification accuracy of the data

  • A dynamic decision model based on rough set attribute reduction and prospect theory is established regarding the dynamic multi-attribute risky public health emergency decisions, and an A-DRE considering attribute cost is proposed

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Summary

Hanyi Wang

Public health emergency decisions are explored to ensure the emergency response measures in an environment where various emergencies occur frequently. The feasibility of applying prospect theory to emergency decisions is analyzed, and how psychological behaviors of decision-makers impact decisionmaking results are quantified On this basis, the cognitive process of public health emergencies is investigated based on the rough set theory. The emergency decision approach based on rough set attribute reduction and prospect theory can acquire practical decision-making rules while considering the different risk preferences of decision-makers facing different decision-making results, which is significant for the rapid development of public health emergency assistance and disaster relief. Attribute reduction and rule extraction are first applied to explore an event’s knowledge recognition process based on the rough set theory. The attribute reduction of the decision table can be achieved through the family method based on the approximate space coverage rough set model.

Reference point
Collaborative emergency response effect
Number of reserved attributes
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