Psoas attenuation and cross-sectional area improve performance of traditional sarcopenia measurements in predicting one-year mortality among elderly patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery: a pilot study of five computed tomography techniques.

Abstract

Risk stratification is challenging in the growing population of geriatric patients requiring emergency surgery. Sarcopenia, which assesses muscle bulk, is a surrogate for frailty and predicts 1-year mortality, but does not incorporate potentially valuable additional information about muscle quality. To describe five different CT methods of measuring sarcopenia and muscle quality and to determine which method has the greatest sensitivity for predicting 1-year mortality following emergency abdominal surgery in elderly patients. This retrospective study includes 297 patients 70years and older who underwent "urgent" or "emergent" laparotomy or laparoscopy for acute abdominal disease between 2006 and 2011 at a single quaternary academic medical center. All patients received a CT abdomen and pelvis with intravenous contrast within 1month of surgery. Five different methods were applied to the psoas muscles on CT: method 1 (total psoas index TPI, which is total psoas area TPA normalized by height), method 2 ("pseudoarea" = anterior-posterior × transverse dimensions), method 3 (average HU), method 4 (TPA × HU), and method 5 ("pseudoarea" × HU). For all five CT measures, mortality was greatest for the lowest quartile by univariate and adjusted Cox proportional hazard analyses at all time points up to 1-year. The C-statistic was highest for Method 4, using a composite index of TPA and Hounsfield Units, indicating the greatest predictive ability to estimate mortality at all time points. Muscle quality and muscle size can be used in tandem to refine risk assessment of older patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery. Routine calculation of the composite score of psoas cross-sectional area and HU in the emergency room setting may provide surgeons and patients valuable insight on the risk of 1-year mortality to guide preoperative decision-making and counseling. Muscle quality and size, both strong independent predictors of surgical outcomes in older patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery, may be used in tandem to refine risk assessment. A composite score of psoas muscle cross-sectional area and Hounsfield units on CT may provide insight on 1-year mortality in this patient population.