Abstract

To improve the operation efficiency of the photovoltaic power station complementary power generation system, an optimal allocation model of the photovoltaic power station complementary power generation capacity based on PSO-BP is proposed. Particle Swarm Optimization and BP neural network are used to establish the forecasting model, the Markov chain model is used to correct the forecasting error of the model, and the weighted fitting method is used to forecast the annual load curve, to complete the optimal allocation of complementary generating capacity of photovoltaic power stations. The experimental results show that this method reduces the average loss of photovoltaic output prediction, improves the prediction accuracy and recall rate of photovoltaic output prediction, and ensures the effective operation of the power system.

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