Abstract

Abstract Background Background Advanced esophageal cancer patients often develop tumor recurrence even after curative resection. Inexpensive and easily available prognostic factors are expected in daily clinical practice. The aim of this study was to identify the prognostic factors in patients with resectable cStage II-IV thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Methods Patients and Methods The study included 118 patients who underwent esophagectomy with curative intent for resectable cStage II-IV thoracic ESCC between January 2000 and December 2014. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analyses for 3-year overall survival (OS) as the endpoint were calculated, and the maximal Youden index was estimated to set the cut-off value for continuous variables. Survival rates were calculated by Kaplan-Meier method, and survival curves were compared using log-rank test. Univariate analysis and multivariate analysis for OS were conducted with Cox proportional hazards models. Results Results The median follow-up period was 33 months (1–160 months). The 5-year OS rate for the entire study population was 52.2%. In univariate analysis, age (70 < ), sex, performance statue, American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA), serum squamous cell carcinoma antigen level (1.2 ng/ml < ), lymphocyte count (≤ 1172/μl), serum albumin level (≤ 3.7 g/dl), total cholesterol level (≤ 193 mg/dl), and C-reactive protein level (0.28 < mg/dl) were significantly associated with OS. In multivariate analysis, ASA (HR for ASA 2: 1.457, 95%CI 0.594–3.579; HR for ASA 3: 7.427, 95%CI 2.189–25.199; P = 0.001) and total cholesterol level (HR 0.506, 95% CI 0.261–0.983; P = 0.044) were independent prognostic factors for OS. The 5-year relapse free survival (RFS), cancer specific survival (CSS) and OS were 58.4%, 74.5% and 67.5% in high- total cholesterol group, and 38.7%, 51.3% and 39.1% in low- total cholesterol group, respectively (P = 0.031 in RFS, P = 0.004 in CSS, and P = 0.002 in OS). Conclusion Our findings showed that pretreatment total cholesterol level and ASA are independent prognostic factors of overall survival in patients with resectable cStage II-IV thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Disclosure All authors have declared no conflicts of interest.

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