Province-specific alcohol-attributable cancer deaths and years of potential life lost in China

Abstract

ObjectiveCancer is a major cause of death in China. As alcohol drinking, a risk factor of cancer, is common in China, we aimed to estimate the alcohol-attributable cancer deaths and years of potential life lost (YPLL) across all provinces in China. MethodsWe estimated the proportion of cancer deaths and YPLL attributable to alcohol consumption at the province level. Population attributable fraction (PAF) was calculated based on: 1) prevalence of alcohol consumption, obtained from the China National Nutrition and Health Survey 2002; 2) dose-response relative risks (RRs) of alcohol consumption and site-specific cancer, extracted from published meta-analyses; 3) cancer mortality data, originated from the National Program of Cancer Registry 2013. ResultsWe estimated that 98,306 cancer deaths were attributable to alcohol consumption and accounted for 4.56 % of the total cancer deaths in China in 2013. Of these deaths, a total of 919,741.57 person-years premature loss of life was caused. Both overall PAF and average YPLL per 100,000 individuals were much higher in men than that in women (7.01 % vs. 0.33 % and 130.55 vs. 4.45, respectively). At the province level, overall PAF ranged from 2.14 % (95 % CI: 1.40 %–2.87 %) in Shanghai to 6.56 % (95 % CI: 4.06 %–9.05 %) in Anhui and the average YPLL per 100,000 individuals ranged from 10.97 in Tibet to 106.52 in Shandong. ConclusionsCancer burden attributable to alcohol consumption varied across provinces in China. Province-level approaches are warranted to decrease alcohol consumption and reduce the alcohol-related cancer burden.