Abstract

Social determinants of health may impact stage and aggressiveness of cancer presentation. As neighborhoods may influence adjacent neighborhoods across often porous and arbitrary borders, an analysis that measures the spatial impact of these social determinants provides a more holistic evaluation than an analysis that treats each neighborhood as independent and unrelated units. In this paper, we study the impact of sociodemographic and environmental characteristics of neighborhoods on cancer presentation in New York City, using both patient-level analysis and spatial autoregression on the New York State Public Access Cancer Epidemiology Data (NYSPACED) and the NYC Open neighborhood-level dataset. Two outcomes of interest were chosen: Presentation with high grade prostate cancer and presentation with distant disease. We performed logistic regression on individual patient level analysis. We created generalized cross sectional autoregressive spatial regression models to assess direct and indirect (via adjacent neighborhoods) impact of neighborhood level independent variables. We analyzed the following neighborhood level variables: 1) Percent population that was Black, 2) Percent population living in poverty, 3) Percent population obese based on self-reported height and weight, 4) Percent who report being current smokers, 5) Percent who report eating one or more servings of fruits and/or vegetables in the last day, and 6) annual average micrograms of fine particulate matter per cubic meter of air. We identified 95,749 patients diagnosed with prostate adenocarcinoma in New York City from 2001-2018. With reported Black race as the referent value, White patients were less likely to present with high grade disease (OR 0.92 [95% CI 0.89-0.95]). Similarly, self-identified White patients were also less likely to present with distant disease (vs. Black, OR 0.76 [95% CI 0.72-0.81]). Spatial autoregression models revealed no neighborhood level variables associated with direct or indirect impacts on presentation with high grade disease. However, there were several variables initially associated with distant disease presentation, including race, poverty, obesity, fruit and vegetable consumption, and air pollution. However, only neighborhood poverty and obesity levels continued to have significant direct impact on presentation with distant disease when included in the regression model with percent Black residents. In conclusion, we discovered a strong association between Race and poverty with the likelihood of presenting with advanced prostate cancer, at both the individual and neighborhood levels. Geographically targeted outreach to improve prostate cancer screening and access to care should be focused on Black men and neighborhoods with high levels of poverty.

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