Abstract
Regression models based on economic data indicate that Singapore's tourist authorities' optimistic expectations for tourist arrivals may be on target. The models show a strong effect on tourism from rising income in neighboring regions, while currency-exchange rates may have little impact. The models forecast some 10 million visitors to Singapore in 2000, a projection that is in line with the targets set by Singapore tourism officials. A calculation of the projected number of hotel beds in 2000 shows that the nation could accommodate up to 13 million visitors. While a huge number of tourists might strain local resources and overwhelm the relatively small population, the authors believe Singapore can sustain 10 million visitors without negative repercussions.
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