Prospects for the Development of Russian Export in the Context of Digitalization

Abstract

The global trend in digitization has revolution the global economy and the way of doing business in our world currently. The digital trend is instrumental to globalization and specifically international trade. In Russia, the application of digitization is relatively low compared to other emerging economies. Therefore, it becomes interesting to assess the prospects of digitization in increasing export of the country and extensively, if such influence on export is industrial sensitive. To accomplish this, we assessed industrial export of Russia and used panel Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) technique to determine the impact of digitization on Russia’s export. By implementing Mean Group (MG) estimator which was adjudged to be suitable for this model through the Hausman test, it could be revealed that the impact of digitization is more intense in the short-run. The long-run effect is not statistically significant. Based on industries, digitization is significantly responsible for the export of Crude materials, inedible, except fuels; and Machinery and transport equipment in the short-run while also contributes to the long-run increase in export of Beverages and tobacco. The prospect can be increased when the country adapts and adopts more in the global trend.