Abstract
The paper deals with the dynamics of home and foreign policy of North Korea under Kim Jong-un leadership, especially in last several years. Analyzed are new trends in and prospects for the development of the situation on the Korean Peninsula in the context of North Korea transformation into a full-fledged nuclear state. The author considers the return to party-centered political system (instead of total militarization under Kim Jong-il) as well as cautious economic reforms including introduction of some market mechanisms and attempts aimed at formation of basics of innovative economics. Factors hampering the development of the country, in particular, various economic sanctions, are also discussed, as well as prospects for diplomatic dialogue of North Korea with countries on North-East Asia. Contact between the leaders of North Korea and the USA are touched upon. The problem of denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula is critically considered. In conclusion, possible directions of cooperation between Russia and North Korea are outlined.
Highlights
The paper deals with the dynamics of home and foreign policy of North Korea under Kim Jong-un leadership, especially in last several years
The author considers the return to party-centered political system as well as cautious economic reforms including introduction of some market mechanisms and attempts aimed at formation of basics of innovative economics
Factors hampering the development of the country, in particular, various economic sanctions, are discussed, as well as prospects for diplomatic dialogue of North Korea with countries on North-East Asia
Summary
Валерий Иосифович Денисов канд. юрид. и д-р истор. наук, профессор, Чрезвычайный и Полномочный Посол. В статье анализируется динамика внутренней и внешней политики КНДР при руководстве Ким Чен Ына, наметившиеся в ней новые тенденции и перспективы развития ситуации на Корейском полуострове в условиях превращения Северной Кореи в ядерную державу. Анализируется возврат к партийному руководству взамен военного при Ким Чен Ире, а также осторожные экономические реформы, в частности осторожное введение рыночных механизмов и усилия по формированию основ инновационной экономики. Рассматриваются факторы, затрудняющие развитие страны, в частности различные наложенные на нее санкции, а также перспективы дипломатического диалога между Северной Кореей, странами Северо-Восточной Азии и США, включая встречи руководителей КНДР и США. В начале XXI века новым, весьма опасным вызовом стало объявление КНДР о создании ракетно-ядерного оружия, что сделало ситуацию на Корейском полуострове и во всей Северо-Восточной Азии чреватой непредсказуемыми последствиями. Однако это Ким Чен Иру и его команде оказалось не под силу. В ответ северокорейское руководство усилило пропаганду политики «сонгун» и культа личности Ким Чен Ира, милитаризацию страны
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