Prospective assessment of the risk for colorectal neoplasia in a Mexican population according to risk categories.

Abstract

e15158 Background: General population screening can reduce colorectal cancer (CRC) mortality. International guidelines recommend CRC screening for asymptomatic people over 50 years. There is no established national screening program in Mexico. Even in countries with low incidence of CRC such as Mexico, targeted screening of subjects at high risk could decrease resource utilization and cost. Our aim was to describe the distribution among an average-risk population based on risk for colorectal neoplasia (CRN). Methods: We performed a prospective assessment of the risk for CRN among asymptomatic people over 50 years at Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición between 2017-2018. The inclusion was competitive consistent with our age-sex pyramid. We included workers, non-family attendants and patients (internal medicine consultation). Each subject answered a standardized questionnaire, which included information on their age, gender, family history of CRC, diabetes, body mass index (BMI), smoking status and drinking habits. In order to stratify the population according to their risk for CRN, we used the Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening (APCS) score. Results: We included 256 subjects. Median age was 59 y/o (50-93), 52% were female. 5% had a first-degree relative with CRC. 44% were current or ex-smoker and 9% reported alcohol consumption. 21% had diabetes. The median BMI was 27.3 (17-51). According to the APCS score, 60% were assigned as average risk (AR) and 40% as high risk (HR) for CRN. We observed a higher proportion of HR compared to our previous retrospective data (Table). Conclusions: We prospectively confirmed that using basic clinical information (age, gender, smoking status, family history of CRC, BMI and diabetes), it is possible to identify a subset of asymptomatic subjects at high risk for CRN in whom screening strategies should be prioritized. In developing countries with limited resources, a focus on high risk groups could improve cost effectiveness of screening colonoscopy. Risk stratification based on APCS score. [Table: see text]