Abstract

We examine the properties of individual analysts’ forecasts of annual earnings for Turkish companies. Using a sample obtained from the Institutional Brokers Estimate System (I/B/E/S) database of earnings forecasts, we measure individual analysts’ forecast errors and relative optimism, and test for serial correlation in these measures. We also compare the forecast accuracy of analysts working for Turkish brokerage firms to the forecast accuracy of those employed by non-Turkish firms. An important contribution of this paper is that it is the first study to focus on the earnings forecasts of Turkish companies at the individual analyst level.

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