Abstract

Randomized clinical trials (RCT) are accepted as the gold-standard approaches to measure effects of intervention or treatment on outcomes. They are also the designs of choice for health technology assessment (HTA). Randomization ensures comparability, in both measured and unmeasured pretreatment characteristics, of individuals assigned to treatment and control or comparator. However, even adequately powered RCTs are not always feasible for several reasons such as cost, time, practical and ethical constraints, and limited generalizability. RCTs rely on data collected on selected, homogeneous population under highly controlled conditions; hence, they provide evidence on efficacy of interventions rather than on effectiveness. Alternatively, observational studies can provide evidence on the relative effectiveness or safety of a health technology compared to one or more alternatives when provided under the setting of routine health care practice. In observational studies, however, treatment assignment is a non-random process based on an individual’s baseline characteristics; hence, treatment groups may not be comparable in their pretreatment characteristics. As a result, direct comparison of outcomes between treatment groups might lead to biased estimate of the treatment effect. Propensity score approaches have been used to achieve balance or comparability of treatment groups in terms of their measured pretreatment covariates thereby controlling for confounding bias in estimating treatment effects. Despite the popularity of propensity scores methods and recent important methodological advances, misunderstandings on their applications and limitations are all too common. In this article, we present a review of the propensity scores methods, extended applications, recent advances, and their strengths and limitations.

Highlights

  • Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are generally accepted as the gold-standard approaches for measuring the “causal” effects of treatments on outcomes (Sibbald and Roland, 1998; Concato et al, 2000) and the design of choice for health technology assessment (HTA)

  • In RCT, with sufficient numbers of participants and adequate concealment of allocation, randomization ensures that individuals assigned to treatment and control or comparator groups are comparable in all pretreatment characteristics, both measured and unmeasured (Sibbald and Roland, 1998)

  • Estimation of the propensity score is needed to create a “quasi-randomized experiment” by using the individual’s probability of receiving the treatment as a summary score of all measured pretreatment covariates. It enables appropriate adjustment for measured potential confounders to estimate the effect of the treatment. This explains one of the key properties of the propensity score method: if we find two individuals with the same propensity score, one in the treated group and one in the untreated group, we can assume that these two individuals are more or less “randomly assigned” to one of the treatment groups in the sense of being likely to be treated or not, with respect to measured pretreatment characteristics (Ali et al, 2015; Ali et al, 2016)

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Summary

Introduction

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) are generally accepted as the gold-standard approaches for measuring the “causal” effects of treatments on outcomes (Sibbald and Roland, 1998; Concato et al, 2000) and the design of choice for health technology assessment (HTA). In RCT, with sufficient numbers of participants and adequate concealment of allocation, randomization ensures that individuals assigned to treatment and control or comparator groups are comparable in all pretreatment characteristics, both measured and unmeasured (Sibbald and Roland, 1998). The “causal” effect of treatment in the study population (the average treatment effect, ATE) on outcomes can be estimated by a direct comparison of the outcomes between the treatment and the comparator groups (Equation 1) (Concato et al, 2000). RCTs rely on data collected on selected, homogeneous population under highly controlled conditions; they provide evidence on efficacy rather than on effectiveness of interventions or treatments (Eichler et al, 2011)

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