Propagation of non-Gaussian voltage angle fluctuations in high-voltage power grids

Abstract

Recent measurements have reported non-Gaussian tails in the distribution of frequency data in electric power grids. Large frequency deviations may induce grid instabilities and it is therefore crucial to understand how noise disturbances with long, non-Gaussian tails propagate. Here, we investigate how fluctuations in power feed-in, characterized by non-zero cumulants of their distribution, propagate through high-voltage power grids. Unlike previous investigations which focused on the white-noise limit, we consider the limit of long noise correlation time, where power feed-in fluctuates over times longer than the inherent dynamical time scales of the grid - the relevant regime for large-scale, high-voltage distribution grids. We show that in this limit, the skewness and kurtosis of the power feed-in distribution propagate similarly as its variance, independently of the distribution of inertia. Non-Gaussianities from individual sources of noise therefore persist throughout the entire network. This finding is corroborated by numerical results on a realistic model of the synchronous grid of continental Europe.