Abstract

BackgroundA large number of studies about effects of air pollutants on cardiovascular mortality have been conducted; however, those investigating association between air pollutants and cardiovascular morbidity are limited, especially in developing countries.MethodsA time-series analysis on the short-term association between outdoor air pollutants including particulate matter (PM) with diameters of 10 µm or less (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and cardiovascular morbidity was conducted in Tianjin, China based on 4 years of daily data (2008–2011). The morbidity data were stratified by sex and age. The effects of air pollutants during the warm season and the cool season were also analyzed separately.ResultsEach increase in PM10, SO2, and NO2 by increments of 10 µg/m3 in a 2-day average concentration was associated with increases in the cardiovascular morbidity of 0.19% with 95 percent confidence interval (95% CI) of 0.08–0.31, 0.43% with 95% CI of 0.03–0.84, and 0.52% with 95% CI of −0.09–1.13, respectively. The effects of air pollutants were more evident in the cool season than those in the warm season, females and the elderly were more vulnerable to outdoor air pollution.ConclusionsAll estimated coefficients of PM10, SO2 and NO2 are positive but only the effect of SO2 implied statistical significance at the 5% level. Moreover, season, sex and age might modify health effects of outdoor air pollutants. This work may bring inspirations for formulating local air pollutant standards and social policy regarding cardiovascular health of residents.

Highlights

  • As the largest harbor in northern China, Tianjin is a fastgrowing and economically developed city

  • Subject Data Daily air pollution data on PM10, SO2 and NO2 were obtained from the website of the Tianjin Environmental Monitoring Centre

  • The selection of df for time trends was done with the partial autocorrelation function (PACF) [17,18]. 4 df per year for time trends were used in our basic models for cardiovascular morbidity

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Summary

Introduction

As the largest harbor in northern China, Tianjin is a fastgrowing and economically developed city. It has an area of approximately 11,919 km and a population of 10 million. The mean annual temperature and precipitation is 13.1uC and 389.4 mm, respectively. It is wetter in summer than in winter. The industrial prosperity brings about severe air pollution problems. Air pollution exerts tremendous burdens to public health, ranking as the 13th leading cause of mortality [3,4,5]. A large number of studies about effects of air pollutants on cardiovascular mortality have been conducted; those investigating association between air pollutants and cardiovascular morbidity are limited, especially in developing countries

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