Abstract

Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was a tool for simulating daily air surface temperatures over northern Thailand. The model was forced by the Community Climate System Model Version 3 (CCSM3) during the baseline period (1990-1999) and the projected period (2016-2025) under the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) A1B scenario. Domain of study covers Indochina region with parent domain of 45 km and two nested domains of 15 km and 5 km, respectively. The daily minimum and maximum temperature simulations during baseline period were compared with station data provided by Thai Meteorological Department (TMD). Kalman filter method was applied to correct the systematic error of temperature simulations. Warming in minimum and maximum temperatures was found over northern Thailand which was less than global warming projection. The study indicated that the frequency of hot (cool) temperature extremes will increase (decrease) in the near future.

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