Abstract

Long-range regional projections of the changes in forest type areas are important in public and private forest resources planning. The combination of natural forces and human activities, which are shaped by socioeconomic forces such as population and income trends, has led to dtriking changes in forest cover types for the three major types of private owners. A model for the U.S. Southeast is presented that projects future areal cover on each ownership by forest type for several land management scenarios. Planned research includes development of regional type transition models based on forest ecosystem responses to various disturbances with consideration of vital silvical attributes of species groups.

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