Abstract
This paper presents a simple and systematic approach to deriving energy resource-utilization projections using the geothermal resources as an example. The near-term projections are derived from considerations such as present resource development status and lead times for further development. The long-term projections are founded on experience with conceptually similar industries, size of available resources, and demands on exogenous physical resources and institutional constraints. It is suggested that such first-order analysis is valuable in the energy program-planning process.
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