Abstract

BackgroundThe SpO2/FiO2 is a useful oxygenation parameter with prognostic capacity in patients with ARDS. We investigated the prognostic capacity of SpO2/FiO2 for mortality in patients with ARDS due to COVID–19.MethodsThis was a post-hoc analysis of a national multicenter cohort study in invasively ventilated patients with ARDS due to COVID–19. The primary endpoint was 28–day mortality.ResultsIn 869 invasively ventilated patients, 28–day mortality was 30.1%. The SpO2/FiO2 on day 1 had no prognostic value. The SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 had prognostic capacity for death, with the best cut-offs being 179 and 199, respectively. Both SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 (OR, 0.66 [95%–CI 0.46–0.96]) and on day 3 (OR, 0.70 [95%–CI 0.51–0.96]) were associated with 28–day mortality in a model corrected for age, pH, lactate levels and kidney dysfunction (AUROC 0.78 [0.76–0.79]). The measured PaO2/FiO2 and the PaO2/FiO2 calculated from SpO2/FiO2 were strongly correlated (Spearman's r = 0.79).ConclusionsIn this cohort of patients with ARDS due to COVID–19, the SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 are independently associated with and have prognostic capacity for 28–day mortality. The SpO2/FiO2 is a useful metric for risk stratification in invasively ventilated COVID–19 patients.

Highlights

  • Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID–19) has rapidly spread across the globe, accounting for nearly 5 million deaths worldwide as of November 2021 [1]

  • Data are expressed as mean ± standard deviation (SD), median with interquartile range (IQR) or number with percentage, where appropriate

  • To determine at which day Pulse oximetry saturation (SpO2)/Fraction of inspired oxygen (FiO2) had the best prognostic capacity for 28–day mortality, we conducted a joint analysis of variance (ANOVA), and a general linear F–test was performed by fitting a logistic multivariable model with SpO2/FiO2 on days 1, 2 and 3 as covariates

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Summary

Introduction

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID–19) has rapidly spread across the globe, accounting for nearly 5 million deaths worldwide as of November 2021 [1]. We investigated the prognostic capacity of SpO2/FiO2 for mortality in patients with ARDS due to COVID–19. The SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 had prognostic capacity for death, with the best cut-offs being 179 and 199, respectively. Both SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 (OR, 0.66 [95%–CI 0.46–0.96]) and on day 3 (OR, 0.70 [95%–CI 0.51–0.96]) were associated with 28–day mortality in a model corrected for age, pH, lactate levels and kidney dysfunction (AUROC 0.78 [0.76–0.79]). Conclusions: In this cohort of patients with ARDS due to COVID–19, the SpO2/FiO2 on day 2 and day 3 are independently associated with and have prognostic capacity for 28–day mortality. The SpO2/FiO2 is a useful metric for risk stratification in invasively ventilated COVID–19 patients

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