Abstract
The article presents the results of the medium-term forecast of income asymmetry of the population of Ukraine. Of the set of special research methods, statistical analysis was used. The initial information for the forecast was the official statistical data, namely: the income of the population of Ukraine in the dynamics by the type of economic activity and in the regional section over the past ten years. Construction of the forecast of the income and the definition of asymmetry was carried out based on the generalization of homogeneous phenomenons (million UAH and ten years). The average values were used to compare the obtained results, summarizing the characteristics of mass, qualitatively homogeneous socio-economic phenomenons, which scientifically predicted the main prospects. The results show a steady trend in the asymmetry of income asymmetry in Ukraine (both by type of economic activity and region), which will remain until 2024. In addition, it is found that Luhansk and Donetsk regions and the indicator (property income received) require additional research by surveying to establish the key risk factors.
Highlights
In the modern world, such a social phenomenon as the asymmetry of the population's income is presented as a multidimensional interaction process and mutual influence of various factors
Another factor causing the increase in population income asymmetry is a large sector of the underground economy and the labor market situation
The general goal of forecasting income asymmetry is to provide the necessary information for developing regions' budgets, plans, programs, strategies, economic, social, and sustainable development
Summary
In the modern world, such a social phenomenon as the asymmetry of the population's income is presented as a multidimensional interaction process and mutual influence of various factors. In Ukrainian society, the factors of increasing the asymmetry of incomes of the population can be attributed to the protracted socioeconomic crisis over the past thirty years. Another factor causing the increase in population income asymmetry is a large sector of the underground economy and the labor market situation (which is characterized by high unemployment, low wages, and labor productivity). The main features of which can be considered the average life expectancy at birth, a high level of child death and death at working age, disability, the attitude of the population to the prevention and treatment of diseases, as well as the possibility of purchasing paid medical services, etc., In these conditions, the adoption of informed management decisions regarding the processes of reproduction of the vital activity of society in the presence of a deepening socio-economic differentiation of the population. It becomes important to scientific research that presupposes the scientific validity of modern trends based on diagnostics prevailing in each area of the territory's life, scripts of future development, taking into account the assessment of possible results of the taken decisions - both positive and negative
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