Prognostic value of some ovarian reserve tests in poor responders

Abstract

The objective of this study was to determine the prognostic value of the basal estradiol (E2) and inhibin-B levels, the antral follicle count (AFC), and the clomiphene citrate challenge test (CCCT) of ovarian response in controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH), in an outcome with normal follicle-stimulating hormone (FSH) concentration in the early follicular phase of the menstrual cycle. Fifty-two patients undergoing IVF treatment were included in the study. Blood samples were collected for assessment of basal E2, FSH, and inhibin-B levels. Transvaginal ultrasound of an unstimulated cycle was performed to determine the mean antral follicle count (AFC). Serum FSH concentration was measured again on day 10 for CCCT performance. The mean values of women's age, and basal and day 10 FSH levels were significantly higher in cancelled cycles than in the control group, whereas basal inhibin-B and AFC were significantly higher in the latter. The mean basal E2 concentration was similar in both groups. The results from the logistic regression analysis show that CCCT (cut-off point FSH > 12.5 mIU/ml; AUCROC = 0.90) was a better single predictor of poor ovarian response than AFC (AUCROC = 0.85) and inhibin-B (AUCROC = 0.79) with a correct prediction for CCCT (86.5%), antral follicle count (84.6%), and for inhibin-B (82.7%). In women with normal basal FSH level, the determination of E2 has no prognostic value for the outcome of poor responders. However, CCCT, AFC, and inhibin-B tests, when applied separately, produce good prognostic values. CCCT is the best single predictor of poor ovarian response, followed by antral follicle count and basal inhibin-B values. In spite of that, CCCT does not add significantly to the simpler AFC ultrasound test in the prediction of poor ovarian response.