PROGNOSTIC VALUE OF COMBINATION AIMS65 AND MELD SCORES IN CIRRHOTIC PATIENTS WITH ACUTE VARICEAL BLEEDING

Abstract

Bacground: Variceal bleeding is a severe complication of portal hypertension due to cirrhosis with high rate of motality, hence, predicting early rebleeding and mortality in cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding is vital in clinical practice. Objectives: To evaluate the prognostic value of the combination of AIMS65 and MELD scores in predicting first 5 days in-hospital rebleeding and mortality in cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding. Materials and Methods: 44 cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding hospitalized at Hue Central Hospital. MELD and AIMS65 scores were calculated within the first 24 hours and monitoring rebleeding and mortality in the first 5 days in these patients. Results: AIMS65, MELD scores can predict first 5 days rebleeding and mortality with AUROC are 0.81, 0.69 and 0.92, 0.95, respectively. Combination of AIMS65 and MELD scores can predict first 5 days in hospital rebleeding with AUROC is 0.84, sensitivity 83.3%, specificity 81.6% (p<0.001) and mortality with AUROC is 0.96, sensitivity 100%, specificity 92.7% (p<0.001). Conclusions: The combination of AIMS65 and MELD scores increased the sensitivity, specificity and prognostic value in predicting first 5 days in-hospital rebleeding and mortality in cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding in compare to each single scores. Key words: AiMS65 score, MELd, acute variceal bleeding