Prognostic Value of a Serum Panel of Inflammatory Factors in Non-Metastatic Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Patients Undergoing Radical Radiotherapy with Adjuvant Chemotherapy.

Abstract

PurposeTo evaluate the prognostic value of interleukin (IL)-6, IL-8, granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF), leukemia inhibitory factor (LIF), and macrophage migration inhibitory factor (MIF) in non-metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) patients undergoing radical radiotherapy.Patients and MethodsA serum panel compromising the inflammatory factors was analyzed in 372 NPC patients before and after radiotherapy. Independent prognostic factors were screened out using multivariate Cox regression analysis. A prediction model was built based on the training set data and validated using the test set data. The prognostic value of these factors was evaluated using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and an integrated time-averaged area under the curve (AUC).ResultsThe baseline levels of IL-6, GM-CSF, and MIF were independent factors associated with poor OS and DMFS. A predictive model base established combining the baseline levels of these factors. The AUC values for the test set were 0.9828, 0.9968, and 0.9571 at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, compared to 0.9978, 0.9981, and 0.9222 for the training set, respectively. The AUC values for DMFS at 1, 3, and 5-years for the training set were 0.8744, 0.8951, and 0.9358, respectively, compared to 0.9525, 0.9663, and 0.9625 for the test set, respectively. The combination of post-treatment levels of IL-6, GM-CSF, and LIF also had good predictive value for OS with an AUC value > 0.85 during follow-up.ConclusionIL-6, GM-CSF, and MIF baseline levels are powerful prognostic factors for non-metastatic NPC patients. The combination of these factors effectively predicts OS and DMFS in non-metastatic NPC patients.