Prognostic significance of tumor budding in melanoma

Abstract

Cutaneous melanoma is an aggressive neoplasm with growing incidence and continuous research is undertaken for novel prognostic factors. This current research aims to determine if tumor budding is an independent factor that correlates with the survival of patients with melanoma. A total of 742 cases of melanoma were evaluated. A receiver operating curve (ROC) was performed to analyze tumor budding impact on survival, identifying a cutoff point associated with death. Subsequently, two groups of participants were created based on that result. Participants within the two groups were compared for clinicopathologic characteristics and survival analysis. Also, a multivariate analysis was performed. Of the total, 447 (60.2%) melanomas occurred in women and 295 in men. The mean age was 57.5 years + 15.75. The most common location was in acral areas (68.2%) followed by trunk (16.7%) and head and neck (15.1%). At presentation, 142 cases (19.1%) presented as stage I, 307 (41.4%) as stage II, 269 (36.3%) as stage III, and 24 (3, 2%) in stage IV. Regarding tumor budding, 586 (79%) cases showed tumor budding (at least one bud in 0.785 mm 2 ), with a median of 5. From the ROC curve, 4.5 tumor buds/0.785 mm 2 was the best cutoff point for correlation with death, grouping the series in low budding (0-4 buds/0.785 mm 2 ) and high budding ( > 5 buds/0.785 mm 2 ). Cases with high tumor budding were associated with older age, acral location, advanced clinical stages, ulceration, recurrence, and death. High tumor budding was associated with a significant decrease in 5-year overall survival (94.4% vs. 55.5%, P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, the factors remaining as independent predictors of survival were acral location, clinical stage IV, recurrence during clinical follow-up, and high tumor budding. High tumor budding (>5 buds in 0.785 mm 2 ) independently correlates with 5-year overall survival rates and is associated with older age, acral location, advanced clinical stages, ulceration, recurrence, and death.