Prognostic significance of time trends in treatment of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Abstract

PurposeTo analyze the impact of demographic, clinical, and management variables on time to treatment initiation (TTI) and overall survival (OS). Study designRetrospective chart review. Materials and methodsMedical records of patients diagnosed with head and neck cancer from 2018 to 2020 were reviewed. Univariate linear and Cox-regressions identified predictors of TTI and OS. Kaplan Meier (KM) curves assessed the difference in survival by diagnostic year and TTI. Results381 patients met eligibility criteria. Median TTI was 35.0 days (IQR: 25.0–49.0). Only 10.8 % of all patients reported any treatment delay, with TTI exceeding 90 days found in 3.7 % of patients. TTI increased with African American race (p = 0.02), ED referrals (p = 0.02), and direct admission status (p = 0.01). When compared to treatment with surgery alone, TTI was shorter in patients undergoing surgery with adjuvant radiation (p = 0.02), adjuvant chemoradiation (p = 0.04), and salvage surgery (p = 0.04). Univariate Cox-regressions found smoking (p = 0.01), direct admission status (p = 0.02), increased duration of symptoms (p = 0.02), placement of PEG tubes (p < 0.01) and tracheostomies (p < 0.01), combination treatment (p < 0.01), and surgery with adjuvant chemoradiation treatment (p = 0.01) to increase mortality risk. Disease characteristics, including tumor size (p < 0.01), presence of nodal disease (p = 0.02), and late-stage disease (p < 0.01), increased mortality risk. TTI and diagnostic year did not impact survival. ConclusionsOur analysis determined several demographic, referral, and treatment factors impacted TTI. However, increased TTI did not impact survival. Characteristics consistent with advanced disease worsened OS. Despite the pandemic burden, patients diagnosed in 2020 showed no difference in short-term survival compared to prior years.