Abstract

Endoscopic resection or esophagectomy has becoming the standard treatment for superficial esophageal squamous cell carcinomas (SESCC), but some patients may develop disease progression or second primary cancers after the therapies. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR), and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) reflect the balance between pro-cancer inflammatory and anti-cancer immune responses, however their roles in SESCC are still unknown. We consecutively enrolled patients with newly diagnosed SESCC (clinical stage Tis or T1N0M0) who were treated at our institute. Pre-treatment NLR, LMR and PLR were assessed and then correlated with clinical factors and long-term survival. A total of 156 patients were enrolled (152 males, 4 females; median age: 52.2 years), of whom 104 received endoscopic resection and 52 were treated with esophagectomy or chemoradiation.. During a mean follow-up period of 60.1 months, seventeen patients died of ESCCs, and 45 died of second primary cancers. The 5-year ESCC-specific survival and 5-year overall survival rate were 86% and 57%, respectively. LMR (P < 0.05) and NLR (P < 0.05), but not PLR were significantly correlated with overall survival. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed optimal LMR and NLR cut-off values of 4 and 2.5, respectively, to predict a poor prognosis. Patients with a high NLR or low LMR tended to have longer tumor length, larger circumferential extension, and presence of second primary cancers. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that presence of second primary cancers (HR: 5.05, 95%CI: 2.75–9.28), low LMR (HR: 2.56, 95%CI: 1.09–6.03) were independent risk factors for poor survival. A low pre-treatment LMR may be a non-invasive pretreatment predictor of poor prognosis to guide the surveillance program, suggesting that anti-cancer immunity may play a role in the early events of esophageal squamous cancer.

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