Prognostic significance of patient age in papillary thyroid carcinoma with no high-risk features.

Abstract

Older age is recognized as a predictor of poor prognosis in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) patients. However, young age is associated with disease progression of PTC measuring 1 cm or smaller in patients on active surveillance. In this study, we investigated the relationship between patient age and prognosis of PTC belonging to very low-, low-, and intermediate-risk groups based on the guidelines published by the Japan Association of Endocrine Surgery in 2018. We enrolled 4,870 PTC patients with no high-risk features and assigned each to one of three categories: very low risk (N = 1,161), low risk (N = 1,746), and intermediate risk (N = 1,963). In very low-risk patients, the local recurrence-free survival (RFS) rate of young patients (<55 years) was significantly worse (p = 0.0437) than that of older patients (≥55 years). In low-risk patients, although age did not affect local recurrence, older patients were more likely to show distant recurrence on univariate (p = 0.0005) and multivariate analyses (p = 0.0017). In the intermediate-risk series, the local RFS rate of older patients tended to be poor (p = 0.0538), and older age was significantly associated with distant RFS (univariate, p = 0.0356; multivariate, p = 0.0439) and carcinoma death (univariate, p < 0.0001; multivariate, not done because of no other suitable factors). The prognostic significance of patient age depends on risk classification: younger age significantly predicts local recurrence in very low-risk PTC, while older age predicts worse prognosis in low- and intermediate-risk patients. These findings indicate that young age is related to rapid growth in early-phase PTC.