Prognostic Significance of Immune Subset Measurement in Individuals With AIDS-Associated Kaposi's Sarcoma

Abstract

A prognostic index for AIDS-associated Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) diagnosed in the era of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) was based on routine clinical and laboratory characteristics. Because immune subset measurement is often performed in HIV-positive individuals, we examined whether these were predictive of mortality independently of the prognostic index, or could predict time to progression of KS. We performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses on a data set of 326 individuals with AIDS-associated KS to identify immune subset covariates predictive of overall survival and time to progression. Adaptive (CD8 T cell and CD19 B cell) and innate (CD16/56 natural-killer cell) immune parameters were studied by flow cytometry. In univariate analyses, all three immune subsets had significant effects on overall survival (P < .025). In multivariate analyses including the prognostic index, only CD8 counts remained significant (P = .026), although its effect on the overall prognostic index is small. An increase of 100 cells/mm3 in the CD8 count confers a 5% improvement in overall survival. Individuals with a higher CD8 count did not have an increased time to progression. Patients who were already on HAART at the time of KS diagnosis did not have a shorter time to progression than those who were antiretroviral naïve at KS diagnosis. The CD8 count appears to provide independent prognostic information in individuals with AIDS-associated KS. Measurement of the CD8 count is clinically useful in patients with KS.