Abstract

Hydrocephalus is a common radiologic sign in patients with leptomeningeal metastasis (LM) from solid tumors which can be assessed using the Evans index (EI). Here, we explored the prognostic value of ventricular size in LM. We identified patients with LM from solid tumors by chart review at 3 academic hospitals to explore the prognostic associations of the EI at diagnosis, first follow-up, and progression. We included 113 patients. The median age was 58.3 years (interquartile range [IQR] 46.1-65.8), 41 patients (36%) were male, and 72 patients (64%) were female. The most frequent cancers were lung cancer (n = 39), breast cancer (n = 36), and melanoma (n = 23). The median EI at baseline was 0.28 (IQR 0.26-0.31); the EI value was 0.27 or more in 67 patients (59%) and 0.30 or more in 37 patients (33%). Among patients with MRI follow-up, the EI increased by 0.01 or more in 16 of 31 patients (52%), including 8 of 30 patients (30%) without and 10 of 17 patients (59%) with LM progression at first follow-up. At LM progression, an increase of EI of 0.01 or more was noted in 18 of 34 patients (53%). The median survival was 2.9 months (IQR 1-7.2). Patients with a baseline EI below 0.27 had a longer survival than those with an EI of 0.27 or more (5.3 months, IQR 2.4-10.8, vs 1.3 months, IQR 0.6-4.1) (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.135-2.534, p = 0.0099). The median survival was 3.7 months (IQR 1.4-8.3) with an EI below 0.30 vs 1.8 months (IQR 0.8-4.1) with an EI of 0.30 or more (HR 1.40, 95% CI 0.935-1.243, p = 0.1113). Among patients with follow-up scans available, the overall survival was 9.4 months (IQR 5.6-21.0) for patients with stable or decreased EI at first follow-up as opposed to 5.6 months (IQR 2.5-10.5) for those with an increase in the EI (HR 1.08, 95% CI 0.937-1.243; p = 0.300). The EI at baseline is prognostic in LM. An increase of EI during follow-up may be associated with inferior LM progression-free survival. Independent validation cohorts with larger sample size and evaluation of confounding factors will help to better define the clinical utility of EI assessments in LM.

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