Prognostic impact of the e-TAPSE ratio in intermediate-high risk pulmonary embolism patients.

Abstract

We assess the prognostic role of a new index (Age-T index), based on age and the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) for the estimation of 30-day mortality and risk of 48-h clinical deterioration since admission, in intermediate-high risk Pulmonary Embolism (PE) patients. A post-hoc analysis of intermediate-high risk PE patients enrolled in the Italian Pulmonary Embolism Registry (IPER) (Trial registry: ClinicalTrials.gov; No.: NCT01604538) was performed. The Age-T index was calculated as the ratio between age and TAPSE. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality risk while the risk of clinical deterioration within 48h in the same patients was chosen as the secondary outcome. Among 450 intermediate-high risk PE patients (mean age 71.4 ± 13.8 years, 298 males), 40 (8.8%) experienced clinical deterioration within 48h since admission and 32 (7.1%) died within 30-day. Receiver operating characteristic analysis established ≥ 4.9 as the optimal cut-off value for the Age-T index in predicting 30-day mortality (AUC of 0.76 ± 0.1). Sensitivity, specificity, PPV and NPV were 81.2, 85.6, 30.2 and 98.3%, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that an Age-T index ≥ 4.9 predicts 30-day mortality (HR: 3.24, 95% CI: 1.58-4.96, p < 0.001) and was also associated with a significantly higher risk of 48-h clinical deterioration (HR: 2.02, 95% CI 1.96-2.08, p < 0.0001) in intermediate-high risk PE patients. Age-T Index appears as a useful, bed-side and non-invasive prognostic tool to identify intermediate-high risk PE patients at higher risk of death and/or 48-h clinical deterioration.