Prognostic impact of the 21-gene recurrence score in patients presenting with stage IV breast cancer.

Abstract

507 Background: The 21-gene Recurrence Score (OncotypeDX Breast Cancer Assay) predicts outcome and benefit from chemotherapy (CT) in early stage ER+ BC treated with adjuvant endocrine therapy. We evaluated the association between Recurrence Score (RS), time to progression (TTP), and overall survival (OS) in patients with stage IV BC enrolled in TBCRC 013. Methods: TBCRC 013 is a registry study evaluating surgery of the primary tumor in pts presenting with Stage IV BC. From 7/09 - 4/12, 128 evaluable pts were enrolled in two cohorts (A: metastases (mets) with intact primary tumor (n=112); B: mets within 3 months of primary surgery (n=16)). This study includes 110 pts with pre-treatment primary tumor samples available for analysis. Clinical variables, TTP and OS were correlated with RS using long-rank, Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression. Results: Median pt age was 52yrs (21-79) and median tumor size 3.1cm (0.7-15). 82 (80%) were ER+, 83 (81%) Her2(-) and 51 (46%) had bone-only mets. Cohorts A and B did not differ. At a median follow-up of 26 mos (1-47), median TTP is 19 mos (95%CI16-25) and surgery is not associated with OS. 102 samples qualified for RS. 23 (23%) had low RS<18, 29 (28%) intermediate RS, 18-30; and 50 (49%) high RS≥31. Age, tumor size or site of 1stmets was not associated with RS. Risk groups were prognostic for TTP in ER+ pts and for 2 yr OS in ER+Her2- pts (Table). In Cox models continuous RS was also prognostic for TTP in ER+ pts (HR 3.5; for 50 point difference (PD) 95%CI 1.5-8.1, p=0.003) and for OS in ER+Her2- pts (HR 21.4, for 50 PD 95%CI 2.2-204.4, p=0.008). In MVA, adjusting for clinical variables, RS remained prognostic for TTP in ER+ pts (p=0.01). Further analysis of surgery in this trial is ongoing. Conclusions: The 21-gene RS is independently prognostic for TTP in ER+ Stage IV BC. RS is also prognostic for OS in ER+Her2- BC, suggesting that a high RS may be a surrogate for endocrine resistance and could be used to select pts with ER+ Stage IV BC for CT. A randomized trial to address this hypothesis is warranted. Clinical trial information: NCT00941759. [Table: see text]