Prognostic Features of Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob Disease: An Analysis of Taiwan's Nationwide Surveillance.

Abstract

To study the prognostic features of Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) and shed light on its future therapy. Retrospective cohort study of a longitudinal national cohort of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. All patients with suspected CJD are reported to the CJD surveillance unit of the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. An expert committee discussed the reported cases and designated a consensus-based diagnosis. From 1996 to 2020, a total of 809 cases were referred to the CJD surveillance unit for confirmation; of these, 441 cases (women, n= 230) were determined to be sporadic CJD. We investigated the clinical manifestations and laboratory findings for 400 patients diagnosed with definite or probable sporadic CJD. We used Kaplan-Meier analyses and Cox proportional hazards model to identify prognostic factors. The mean age of onset was 67 ± 9.9years. The mean survival duration was 13.3 ± 14.2 (median 10) months. The leading clinical symptoms were myoclonus (73%) and akinetic mutism (54%). For PRNP polymorphism, 99% of patients (195/197) showed a methionine homozygous genotype at codon 129 (M129M). The sensitivity of periodic sharp wave complexes (PSWCs) on electroencephalograms (EEGs) was 59.7%. The sensitivity of cerebrospinal fluid 14-3-3 protein and total tau protein (>1200 pg/mL) were 69.7% and 75.6%, respectively. Younger patients lived longer than those aged ≥65years [hazard ratio (HR) 0.466, P < .001]. Women had a better survival probability in the first 3years than their male counterparts (HR 0.712, P= .005). PSWCs had a persistent negative effect on survival (HR 0.788, P < .05). Although uncommon, epileptic seizures were the only clinical prognostic factor for survival time (HR 0.768, P < .05). PSWCs can be used as an EEG biomarker for prognosis. Epileptic seizures, though not common, are the only clinical prognostic factor for a short survival. We found that a lower age of onset and female gender favor the survival of patients with sCJD. PSWCs are EEG biomarkers unfavorable for survival, and so are epileptic seizures.