Prognostic factors of pulmonary hypertension associated with connective tissue disease: pulmonary artery size measured by chest CT

Abstract

Pulmonary artery enlargement is a common manifestation of chest CT in patients with pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). The exact clinical significance of this phenomenon has not been clarified in connective tissue disease (CTD)-associated PAH (CTD-PAH). We aimed to explore the association between the dilatation of pulmonary artery and prognosis of CTD-PAH patients. We retrospectively investigated 140 CTD-PAH patients diagnosed by echocardiography from 2009 to 2018. A chest multi-slice CT was performed on all the patients. Main pulmonary artery (MPA), right pulmonary artery (RPA), left pulmonary artery (LPA), ascending aorta (AAo) and descending aorta (DAo) diameters were measured. The ratios MPA/AAo and MPA/DAo were also calculated. The primary end point was all-cause mortality. During the observational period of 3.44 (0.23) years, 36 patients were followed to death. Cox univariate proportional hazard analysis showed that age, gender, MPA diameter, LPA diameter and RPA diameter were related to the risk of 5-year all-cause mortality in patients with CTD-PAH. In Cox multivariate proportional hazard analysis, MPA diameter and gender were predictors of all-cause mortality in CTD-PAH patients. An all-cause mortality risk prediction model revealed that baseline MPA diameter has the ability to predict 5-year all-cause mortality in CTD-PAH patients. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the 5-year survival rate was significantly lower in patients with MPA ≥37.70 mm (P ≤ 0.00012) compared with MPA ≤ 37.70 mm. MPA diameter ≥37.70 mm measured by chest multi-slice CT was a potential independent risk factor of the poor long-term prognosis in Chinese CTD-PAH patients.