Abstract

BackgroundOne-third of individuals who sustain an acute lateral ankle ligament sprain suffer significant disability due to pain, functional instability, mechanical instability or recurrent sprain after recovery plateaus at 1 to 5 years post injury. The identification of early prognostic factors associated with poor recovery may provide an opportunity for early-targeted intervention and improve outcome.MethodsWe performed a comprehensive search of AMED, EMBASE, Psych Info, CINAHL, SportDiscus, PubMed, CENTRAL, PEDro, OpenGrey, abstracts and conference proceedings from inception to September 2016. Prospective studies investigating the association between baseline prognostic factors and recovery over time were included. Two independent assessors performed the study selection, data extraction and quality assessment of the studies. A narrative synthesis is presented due to inability to meta-analyse results due to clinical and statistical heterogeneity.ResultsThe search strategy yielded 3396 titles/abstracts after duplicates were removed. Thirty-six full text articles were then assessed, nine of which met the study inclusion criteria. Six were prospective cohorts, and three were secondary analyses of randomised controlled trials. Results are presented for nine studies that presented baseline prognostic factors for recovery after an acute ankle sprain. Age, female gender, swelling, restricted range of motion, limited weight bearing ability, pain (at the medial joint line and on weight-bearing dorsi-flexion at 4 weeks, and pain at rest at 3 months), higher injury severity rating, palpation/stress score, non-inversion mechanism injury, lower self-reported recovery, re-sprain within 3 months, MRI determined number of sprained ligaments, severity and bone bruise were found to be independent predictors of poor recovery. Age was one prognostic factor that demonstrated a consistent association with outcome in three studies, however cautious interpretation is advised.ConclusionsThe associations between prognostic factors and poor recovery after an acute lateral ankle sprain are largely inconclusive. At present, there is insufficient evidence to recommend any factor as an independent predictor of outcome. There is a need for well-conducted prospective cohort studies with adequate sample size and long-term follow-up to provide robust evidence on prognostic factors of recovery following an acute lateral ankle sprain.Trial registrationProspero registration: CRD42014014471

Highlights

  • One-third of individuals who sustain an acute lateral ankle ligament sprain suffer significant disability due to pain, functional instability, mechanical instability or recurrent sprain after recovery plateaus at 1 to 5 years post injury

  • We present a narrative synthesis of prognostic factors that have demonstrated a statistically significant relationship with recovery outcomes following acute lateral ankle ligament sprains

  • This systematic review provides a summary of prognostic factors of recovery after an acute ankle sprain

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Summary

Introduction

One-third of individuals who sustain an acute lateral ankle ligament sprain suffer significant disability due to pain, functional instability, mechanical instability or recurrent sprain after recovery plateaus at 1 to 5 years post injury. In the Netherlands, an incidence rate of 37.5 and 17.5 per 1000 person-years during sporting activities and activities of daily living respectively was reported over a 10-25 year period [2]. A key feature of acute lateral ankle ligament sprain (ankle sprain) is that about one-third of injured individuals will experience long-term residual symptoms [5,6,7]. 30% of individuals at 2.5 to 5 years post ankle sprain reported pain on activity [9] with one study reporting that 74% of individuals exhibited at least one residual symptom of either pain, swelling, weakness, or instability 1 to 4 years after an ankle sprain [10]. There is evidence to suggest that these long-term residual impairments of the ankle influence an individual’s level of functioning during sporting activities and activities of daily living [6, 8]

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