Prognostic evaluation of stage I lung adenocarcinoma based on systematic inflammatory response.

Abstract

This study aimed to construct an effective nomogram based on the clinical and laboratory characteristics to predict the prognosis of stage I lung adenocarcinoma with EGFR alteration. A retrospective study was performed of 913 eligible patients with EGFR alteration after surgery at Shanghai Pulmonary Hospital. The peripheral blood indicators were included in the nomogram. Calibration plots, concordance index, decision curve analysis, and X-tile software were used in this study. Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio were independent risk factors for RFS. The calibration curves for RFS probabilities showed good agreement between the nomogram prediction and actual observation. Furthermore, the nomogram, including neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio had a higher concordance index (0.732, 95% confidence interval = 0.706 to 0.758) than that without neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio or platelet to lymphocyte ratio (0.713, 95% confidence interval = 0.686 to 0.740), and decision curve analysis plots showed that the nomogram with neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio had better clinical practicability. Additionally, the patients were divided into 2 groups according to cutoff values of risk points, and statistically significant differences in RFS and overall survival were observed between the high-risk and low-risk groups (P < .001). High pretreatment levels of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio were strongly associated with a worse prognosis in stage I EGFR-altered lung adenocarcinomas. Besides, the proposed nomogram with neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and platelet to lymphocyte ratio presented a better prediction ability for the survival of those patients.