Abstract

The aim: To elaborate prognostic criteria to assess the risk of excessive body weight development among schoolchildren on the basis of hereditary and behavioral predictors. Materials and methods: 90 parents of school age children were interviewed by means of the social study method. Results: Hereditary status (1 and 2 congeniality degree to type 2 diabetes mellitus, arterial hypertension, excessive body weight, cases of myocardial infarction and/or stroke available among relatives) and behavioral characteristics (peculiarities of diet and physical activity of a child) were studied among school age children. The risks promoting development of an excessive body weight under conditions of hereditary and behavioral factors were assessed. The prognostic matrix elaborated enables to predict development of an excessive body weight of a child under a comprehensive effect of unfavorable hereditary and behavioral characteristics with a high accuracy (AUC = 0,88, Std. Dev. = 0,0451). Conclusions: The method elaborated enables to find children with the risk of an excessive body weight development and introduce individualized prophylaxis measures in order to prevent development of obesity and diseases associated with an excessive body weight.

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