Prognosis of hepatic failure with the albumin-bilirubin model for hepatocellular carcinoma after stereotactic body radiotherapy with and without transplant.

Abstract

384 Background: The Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) model is a validated prognostic assessment of cirrhosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), stratifying patients to grades 1(ALBI-1), 2(ALBI-2), or 3(ALBI-3). We reported that ALBI distinguishes patients at higher risk for hepatic failure(HF) after stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) within the Child Pugh(CP) A population. We now apply the ALBI model to both CP-A and CP-B patients after SBRT with or without orthotropic liver transplant (OLT), and assess its prognostic capability of overall survival (OS) and HF relative to the CP model. Methods: From 2009-2017, 68 patients with 81 HCC lesions and CP-A (45) or CP-B (23) cirrhosis completed SBRT in this IRB approved study. The median dose was 45 Gy (35 - 57 Gy) in 4-7 fractions. Initial ALBI and CP scores were measured against OS and progression of CP class, which was recorded every 3-4 months. Median follow-up = 18 months. Results: The median age = 62 and tumor size = 3.5 cm (1.1 Ð 11 cm). 26 patients were ALBI-1, 31 ALBI-2, and 11 ALBI-3 prior to SBRT. For all patients, 2-year local control was 96%. 1 and 2 year OS was 77% and 54%, disease free survival was 71% and 40%, and freedom from CP progression was 71% and 56%, respectively. OS was significantly different between ALBI-1, ALBI-2, and ALBI-3 patients (P = 0.01), as was progression of CP class (P<0.001). When stratified by initial CP class, there were no significant differences in survival or CP progression [Table 1]. In a subset of 37 CP-A and 15 CP-B without OLT, rates of progressive cirrhosis were better predicted by ALBI (P<0.001) than CP class (P=0.09). Conclusions: Compared to the CP model, the ALBI index more precisely predicted HF and OS in HCC patients for both early and intermediate cirrhosis. Its application may help better select candidates for OLT after SBRT, who may be at higher risk for HF than initially predicted. [Table: see text]